Multifamily Outlook For The Private Investor


Video added by Walker & Dunlop - Company and Property Videos | Date Uploaded: December 18, 2023 | Date Created: October 25, 2022


Today’s webinar is hosted by Ana Ramos. She is the managing director of the West Coast Regional for Walker & Dunlop Small Balance Multifamily Lending Group and has been in the industry for over 20 years. She is joined by panelists Luke Erlandson, Matt Jones, and Scott Doyle to discuss how private investors can navigate the current market for 5-150 multifamily properties. Luke Erlandson is the Senior Director and the Midwest Production Head for Walker & Dunlop’s Small Balance Group, based in Chicago, and specializes in non-recourse financing solutions. Matt Jones is the Managing Director of Walker & Dunlop’s investment sales team based in Michigan and has 14 years of experience. Scott Doyle has worked in Walker & Dunlop’s investment sales team in the Mid-Atlantic region for three years. The webinar starts with an overview of the market: deals are getting done, uncertainty among buyers and sellers, and a pessimistic view far from the truth. Financing activity has decreased, but options remain available for private investors, such as Fannie Mae, currently with the best fixed-rate pricing, agency products, flexible pre-pay, full-term interest, maximizing IO term, and Walker & Dunlop (W&D). To get successful loans, borrowers should do everything they can to have strong collections, and push rents as much as possible without affecting occupancy too much. They should also try minimizing and cutting expenses, aiming for the highest net operating income possible. By providing companies like W&D with strong financials, the best product is attainable. Sellers can prepare for the current market by considering occupancy rates remaining high, trade outs toward the top end of the range, and cap rates. It’s also important to have relationships with non-recourse solution specialists, understand the debt market, articulate plans clearly, and provide certainty of execution. Cap rates are dependent on the product type. Capital buyers have the benefit of getting conviction around the microeconomics of an asset or sub-market. Rates have been macro across the country, and even in tertiary markets like the Midwest, there is still a 7-10% growth in trade-offs. Having the crutch of the US government, the Mid-Atlantic stays consistent at around 3-5% as deals are happening. For investors, rates are in the 5-7% range. W&D can help sellers and buyers have a better grasp of micro and national markets with the resources, tools, and collaboration they develop. They keep debt in-house, and leverage clients to put them in the best deals possible. The difference between W&D and local brokers is that W&D is a direct lending partner with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Credit spreads are higher with the current environment, and everyone’s pricing risk differently, hoping Freddie and Fannie put out all the money allocated to them. Location affects investors’ preferences as many have found success in tertiary markets. When asked which is better, lower cap rates than interest or vice versa, it depends on how much you’re willing to stomach. Increasing default rates next year is likely as there’s potential for people to come in if some borrowers have problems. Key Points In The Webcast: 02:22 Introduction of panelists 02:49 Overview of the market 05:35 Options for private investors 08:04 Tips for potential borrowers and sellers 11:11 Overview of cap rates 15:40 Services for sellers and buyers 17:41 Why Walker & Dunlop is different 22:06 Benchmark rates projections 23:31 The impact on investors’ preference 26:11 Are lower cap rates vs. interest rates better? 23:15 Increasing default rates on floating bridge loans 34:13 Other asset types 34:24 Refinancing in five vs. ten years 35:32 Deal size for private investors and minimum loans 36:35 Freddie vs. Fannie 39:50 Condo conversion and mortgage brokers 41:31 Green Globe certification and current floating rates 43:44 Closing advice

Economics/Market Reports/Research, Events / Webinars, Lending / Finance, ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance)
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